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Announced: 2026-07-01ProcedureImport scope: US · MX · CA
On July 1, 2026 the three USMCA parties held the mandatory first joint review, conducted virtually under Article 34.7. USTR Ambassador Greer's same-day statement: 'The United States did not agree to renew the USMCA in its current form. As a result, the USMCA is not renewed.' The US refusal blocks the automatic 16-year extension to 2042 and shifts the agreement into annual joint reviews each July 1; absent a future consensus to extend, the USMCA terminates July 1, 2036 under Article 34.7's sunset mechanics (the 2036 date is drawn from law-firm analyses, not the USTR statement itself). Mexico (President Sheinbaum) and Canada had both submitted written support for the 16-year extension, having floated an extension to 2042 with 6-year reviews — rejected by the US; Economy Secretary Ebrard has floated a fallback of 10-year extension terms. The agreement remains fully in force meanwhile: tariff preferences, rules of origin and dispute settlement are unchanged, and roughly 85% of Mexican exports to the US still enter tariff-free under USMCA compliance. Mexico's next-phase priority is negotiating down US §232 steel/aluminum/auto tariffs, while Canada's retaliatory tariffs (~C$15.6bn on US steel/aluminum plus autos) remain in place.
TariffsProcedures & reviews
Coverage: Export country All → Import country US · MX · CA · HS All
Proclamation 11032, 'Further Adjusting the Tariff Regimes for Imports of Aluminum, Steel, and Copper,' was signed June 1, 2026, with changes effective June 8, 2026 (the reduced tiers run through December 31, 2027). The §232 derivative rate on agricultural equipment — combines, harvesters and similar machinery — is cut from 25% to 15%. Residential-use HVAC systems and components are added to the temporarily-reduced 15% derivative category, and the 15% category is further expanded to mobile industrial equipment (bulldozers, forklifts) when imported from trade-deal countries. A new incentive tier sets a 10% duty rate for capital equipment with at least 85% US-melted-and-poured steel and aluminum content. Under the recalibrated regime, Japan and Korea §232 imports are effectively capped at a 15% total-duty outcome. Duties apply on the full customs value of the goods.
Tariffs
Coverage: Export country All → Import country US · HS 72 · 73 · 74 · 76 · 84 · 85
On April 20, 2026, USTR Jamieson Greer and Mexican Secretary of Economy Marcelo Ebrard issued a joint statement directing teams to advance technical work on economic security, complementary trade actions, strengthened rules of origin for key industrial goods, and collaboration on critical minerals. President Sheinbaum publicly framed Mexico's objective: a specialized steel/aluminum/autos agreement before the trilateral review concludes. Ebrard described the negotiating posture as 'sector by sector,' targeting reduced extra-regional dependence — particularly the 85%+ Asian import share in semiconductors, pharmaceuticals and electronics. The first formal bilateral negotiating round is scheduled for the week of May 25, 2026 in Mexico City. USTR has signaled separately that existing US §232 / §301 / §122 tariffs on Mexico-origin goods stay in place during the negotiation window.
TariffsProcedures & reviews
Coverage: Export country All → Import country US · MX · HS 72 · 76 · 87 · 85 · 30
April 2 proclamation raises Annex I-A primary metals to 50% ad valorem, Annex I-B derivatives to 25% on full customs value (no more metal-content split). UK origin qualifies for 25%/15% tiers with 95% melt-and-pour rule. Products with ≤15% metal content fully exempt. Quarterly inclusion process terminated.
Tariffs
Coverage: Export country All → Import country US · HS 72 · 73 · 74 · 76 · 84 · 85 · 87 · 94
On March 31, 2026, China's State Council promulgated Order No. 834 — the Provisions on the Security of Industrial and Supply Chains — the PRC's first dedicated framework regulation for industrial and supply-chain security. The order, jointly enforced by MOFCOM and MIIT, provides the legal basis for sanctioning foreign companies, applies a 50% Rule for products incorporating controlled components, and embeds extraterritorial jurisdiction under the October 2025 export-control framework (extraterritorial enforcement deferred until November 2026). Effective May 1, 2026. The order serves as China's structural response to US trade-tool escalation through 2026 — paralleling §301 / §232 / IEEPA on the PRC retaliatory side.
TariffsExport controls
Coverage: Export country CN → Import country All · HS All